négaWatt is working with a network of key European organisations on the construction of a European energy and climate scenario that evaluates all potentials for energy demand reduction (sufficiency and efficiency) and renewable energy development. This vision will be as ambitious as possible, aiming to meet the EU targets on greenhouse gases, renewables and efficiency for 2030 and 2050 at the minimum, and carbon neutrality as early as possible in line with the 1,5degrees objective.
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The implementation of the Paris Agreement is calling for reinforced action in all member States. At the European level, reaching carbon neutrality by 2050 will require an ambitious and coordinated energy transition strategy.
The Energy Union initiative and the recent Green Deal announced by European Commission’s president Ursula Von der Leyen are great opportunities to do so. Until today, at the European level, no scenario has been constructed in a bottom-up manner, starting from national trajectories, nor has proposed the adequate level of ambition on all sustainability issues, beyond technological issues alone. We aim to achieve the first supranational scenario that reconciles the need for ambition heightened by the climate emergency, with the technical, societal and political feasibility of the necessary transformations, supported by genuine policies targeted to this end.
The project aims at developing one the most ambitious decarbonisation pathways for Europe. It will propose an action plan to reach carbon neutrality and a 100% renewable mix at the European level by 2050 at the very latest.
This scenario will focus on the question of energy sufficiency : how can we rethink and redesign individual and collective practices to favour activities and services that are intrinsically low on energy use ? The sufficiency potential is enormous at the European level, but is rarely considered at its full scale in European decarbonisation pathways. With this work, we hope to show that a comprehensive policy articulating sufficiency, efficiency and renewable development is key to reach the 1,5°C climate goal.
This project is based on a unique approach : the European scenario will be developed through a dialogue with national scenario makers in order to aggregate national visions into a European one. We will promote a European strategy that fully takes into account national specificities while also looking at optimisation gains of a coordinated action at the European level.
This project is led in collaboration with a network of national and European organisations. Since 2018, partners are engaged in technical dialogue to ensure the collective development of this project.
This dialogue has allowed partners to question their work and modelling approaches, and share best practices, which results in built-up capacity and raised ambition. Thematic working groups and methodological meetings are also regularly organised. Through this network, partners have been able to share information on the ways policies or actions are supported in different member States, and how setting conditions may vary from one region to another.
The network includes about 20 partners, covering 18 European countries.
Updated on 06/05/2022
The budget covers main activities of the project : coordination of the project, animation of the network of partners, participation of members to main technical meetings, development of modelling tools, technical work on the reinforcement of national scenarios, development of the European trajectory, policy and dissemination activities.
négaWatt and its network of partners are looking for additional funding to complete this budget as well as to extend with a view to the upcoming publication and dissemination of the scenario.
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Up to date on 06/05/2022
négaWatt scenario 2022
négaWatt scenario 2017-2050